Now Russia deploys troops to border with North Korea - what does this tell us about what's REALLY going on?
Russian President, Vladimir Putin has ordered troops to occupy the 11-mile long border with North Korea amid fears that the U.S. will attack North Korea. The movement suggests Russia is also taking the U.S. threat to bomb the North very seriously.
A Russian soldier rides on an armored vehicle in this file image.
LOS ANGELES, CA (California Network) -- Russia believes there is a significant chance the U.S. is going to attack North Korea, and it will go badly for the North, resulting in millions of refugees streaming out of the country. This is the only rational explanation for the deployment of troops and equipment to the 11-mile border between Russia and North Korea.
A video circulating online appears to show a train laden with military equipment, making its way to the border. Allegedly, the train is one of three such trains observed in recent days. Other videos show all-terrain military vehicles and helicopters operating in the border area. Locals also say the military has moved by road as well as by train and air.
The reports are being carried in Russian media. The fear is that a strike on North Korea will result in thousands of refugees streaming north to cross the border into China or Russia. Both countries want to contain the mass exodus and prevent a humanitarian crisis.
Both China and Russia have deployed troops on the border. Such a deployment tells the North to take the USA seriously.
Officially, the Russian government is telling people the movements are related to exercises that recently ended in the region.
Russians are also afraid that a U.S. strike on North Korean nuclear facilities could result in a radioactive cloud that may reach Vladivostok within a couple of hours.
The movements come following the failure of a UN resolution condemning North Korea's weapons development that would also demand the nation stop all nuclear development and testing. Even China backed the statement. However, Russia blocked the resolution because its diplomats wanted to include language that would ensure the U.S. would work to resolve the crisis by dialogue, not force.
A video purports to show Russian military equipment on one of three trains headed to the border.
Without the resolution, force becomes even more likely. Sergei Ryabkov, the deputy foreign minister, said, "Unfortunately, we have to admit that the risk of a serious conflict in this region has substantially increased."
These troops are not involved in a mere exercise, they are being deployed because the Russian government has reason to worry.
The movements by both countries suggest the following:
- Both China and Russia believe President Trump is willing and capable of ordering a strike on North Korea.
- They believe such a strike could destabilize the country, and reduce government control over the people.
- They believe a massive influx of refugees, seeking to escape North Korea could result.
- They may feel the need to invade the North, at least some distance across the border, to defend their interests.
- China could march to Pyongyang to stabilize the regime, or even to install a puppet regime of its own.
The telltale sign to know if such a strike is imminent is to look to the U.S. to see what is done with the various carrier battle groups that will be needed to strike the North and defend South Korea. While one carrier group is due to the region (USS Carl Vinson), another two could be sent. The Ronald Reagan in Japan and the Nimitz in Washington state. Should all three groups sortie to the region, then conflict may be imminent.
While nations routinely conduct large-scale exercises, the synchronized movement of three large powers that are natural adversaries is unique and telling. At some high level, conversations about the future are taking place. Those conversations are focused on North Korea, and they mention conflict of a nature that can topple the regime of Kim Jong Un. China and Russia may not like it, but they do not appear prepared, or able to stop it.
Kim Jong Un now remains in power only because the U.S. is not ready to remove him. But that condition may be satisfied within weeks. Unless the Hermit Kingdom quickly takes concrete, demonstrable steps to verifiably end its nuclear program, conflict will come and that right soon.
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