Report claims extreme weather on DECLINE - but is someone lying?
FREE Catholic Classes
There are claims that extreme weather is on the decline, in spite of claims that global warming is on the rise. The suggestion is global warming does not have the ill effects predicted by scientists, or that global warming is not happening at all. Is this the case?
The dispute over methodology could be killing us all.
LOS ANGELES, CA (California Network) -- According to a group of skeptics who delivered a report to the UN, in November 2016, extreme weather events are on the decline, not a rise, as predicted by global warming models.
According to global warming theory, energy from the Sun is being trapped in our atmosphere by human carbon emissions. While nature can easily cope with ordinary natural emissions, the double whammy of humans cutting down forests while burning fossil fuels means CO2 accumulates in the atmosphere faster than nature can take it up.
This increased energy should manifest itself in two ways. The first is through warming global temperatures. The second is though more extreme, violent and erratic weather. Both make sense. More energy means more chaos. It's like the difference between a soda can on a shelf and one being shaken.
The report, issued by the skeptics, remains at complete odds with the reports issued by NASA, NOAA, the American Meteorological Society, and many other scientific institutions.
It was also announced this week that atmospheric carbon dioxide levels have just passed 410 ppm for the first time in recorded human history.
So why the difference? Is someone lying?
The heart of the problem is that we are dealing with core beliefs and near-religious convictions. However, unlike people who believe conspiracy theories, such as 9/11 truthers, moon landing skeptics, and anti-vaxxers, we are not dealing with a simple set of variables that can be easily defended. Instead, we are dealing with weather and climate, which are incredibly complex.
Global warming models fail for the simple reason that no model is capable of taking into account all the variables that impact the climate. It is likely we have not even discovered all the variables.
This may seem like a death knell them for global warming concern since it is difficult to justify policy changes based on flawed modeling, but the trends remain in place. The trend towards a warming, more dangerous planet should suffice to justify at least some basic, common sense measures.
Those trends are also under scrutiny. According to the 2016 State of the Climate report, they don't exist. If anything, they are in decline.
In a spirit of intellectual fairness, it is impossible to resolve this dispute within the context of a single overview article such as this. It is likely both sides are presenting data that is carefully selected, possibly curated to portray the circumstances that affirm each bias.
The only definitive conclusion will come from a careful review of the data, on an individual basis, with an agreement made to standardize the analysis. For example, how many years should be included in a sample? What scales should be used? What counts as extreme, or simply as in or out?
This discussion is important. Global warming could be the greatest threat to humanity in centuries, or it might be a mild inconvenience. It could also be an elaborate hoax designed to distract and disenfranchise entire populations.
But it will remain impossible to determine the truth of the matter so long as anarchy rules. Both the "alarmists" and the "skeptics" must agree on methods, scales and measures before we can come to a final consensus on the issue.
Perhaps this lack of standardization is what we should be more concerned with than the weather outside. The weather will always be, but without agreement on what is serious and what is not, or how we should react to it, we will remain at its mercy.
Copyright 2019 - Distributed by THE CALIFORNIA NETWORK
If you were at least 10-years-old on July 20, 1969, you will surely remember that your eyes were glued to a black and white television set ... continue reading
As Earth approaches 8 billion living persons, questions over how to manage our resources become pressing. Every day, 7.54 billion people ... continue reading
On the fourth anniversary of Laudato Si', the bishops of California challenged the community to grow in an "ecological conversion" that ... continue reading
Calling out the environmentalists! Why illegal immigration is also a major environmental problem Watch
Great attention is paid to the fiscal and social impact of illegal immigration on the United States. However, little attention is paid to ... continue reading
Last days earthquake? Scientists predict California is overdue for a quake of Biblical porportions Watch
California is a land of contradictions. It is home to 40 million souls, and enjoys a long Catholic heritage which can be seen in the very ... continue reading
by Catholic Online
- Pope Francis petitions Assad to protect weak and defenseless in Syria
- Daily Reading for Wednesday, July 24th, 2019 HD Video
- Prayer Requests Live for Monday, July 22nd 2019 HD Video
- Church in Puerto Rico to hold 24 hour prayer encounter amid protests
- Moon landing should inspire 'even greater goals,' Pope Francis urges
- Daily Readings for Tuesday, July 23, 2019
- St. Bridget of Sweden: Saint of the Day for Tuesday, July 23, 2019
- Daily Reading for Tuesday, July 23rd, 2019 HD
- Daily Reading for Monday, July 22nd, 2019 HD
- Prayer Requests Live for Friday, July 19th 2019 HD
- Mary, the Blessed Virgin HD
Learn about Catholic world
Inform - Inspire - Ignite
Catholic Online Saints
Your saints explained
Catholic Online Prayers
Prayers for every need
Catholic Online Bible
Complete bible online
Catholic Online News
Your news Catholic eye
Today's bible reading
Products and services we offer
Catholic Online Shopping
Catholic medals, gifts & books
Advertise on Catholic Online
Your ads on catholic.org
Catholic Online Email
Email with Catholic feel
Learn the Catholic way
Catholic Online School
Free Catholic education for all
K-12 & Adult Education Classes
Support Free Education
Tax deductible support Free education
Copyright 2019 Catholic Online. All materials contained on this site, whether written, audible or visual are the exclusive property of Catholic Online and are protected under U.S. and International copyright laws, © Copyright 2019 Catholic Online. Any unauthorized use, without prior written consent of Catholic Online is strictly forbidden and prohibited.
Catholic Online is a Project of Your Catholic Voice Foundation, a Not-for-Profit Corporation. Your Catholic Voice Foundation has been granted a recognition of tax exemption under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Federal Tax Identification Number: 81-0596847. Your gift is tax-deductible as allowed by law.