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MONSTER El Nino forming in South Pacific, will being devastating weather around the globe in 2014-2015
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According to scientists, a massive El Nino is forming in the Pacific and it may be the largest such El Nino ever recorded. If true then the entire planet may experience an uptick in extreme weather events with serious consequences for life and property around the globe. It could also be the first time that global warming is implicate din directly influencing weather patterns on Earth in a clear and distinct way.
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LOS ANGELES, CA (Catholic Online) - Scientists are using unusual terms to describe the trending El Nino, referring to it as "unprecedented" and "a monster." Scientists are not typically given to exaggeration, so any hyperbole from the scientific community bears an inherent warning.
The Australian government's Bureau of Meteorology is now predicting a 70% chance of an El Nino and subsequent drought as a result for the coming year. NOAA, also revised its prediction to favor El Nino development, up from a neutral prediction last month.
According to environmental blogger Robertscribbler, citing NOAA's climate prediction center, "We are observing an extraordinarily powerful Kelvin Wave, one that was likely intensified by factors related to human global warming, traveling across the Pacific. It appears to be an epic event in the making. One that may be hotter and stronger than even the record-shattering 1997-98 El Nino. What this means is that we may well be staring down the throat of a global warming riled monster."
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As he describes, and the NOAA data supports, energy from the Sun has been pooling in the depths of the ocean for several years. In fact, scientists say they have noticed the oceans warming as the planet itself seems to plateau, warming at a much slower pace than predicted in the previous century.
All that heat eventually goes somewhere and it has been building in the oceans. Now, 2014 appears to be the year of reckoning as that store of energy, captured as heat in the Pacific Ocean off the west coast of Chile, rises to the surface to dissipate into the atmosphere.
This won't be a harmless event.
The El Nino of 1997-98 is widely recalled as being an event of major significance with a spike in harsh weather around the globe. This new El Nino shows every indication of being more powerful than that one.
Measurements taken since January show that this El Nino is the largest yet recorded. It will bring rain to the Western US where it's needed, but drought and extreme storms elsewhere. It will also bring typhoons to the South Pacific. Typhoon Hiyan may have drawn on this reserve of ocean heating to become the most powerful storm on Earth to ever strike land. There could easily be a repeat of such an event.
What we need to look for now is to see if weather events this year become more extreme as predicted. This is the power of science. This is what science does. It makes predictions. We now have a prediction that 2014 will be a record El Nino year and that we will see a spike in extreme weather events and higher temperatures around the globe.
If this comes to pass, we may finally have definitive real-world evidence that not only is global warming real, but it's bad for us and the time to act is immediate.
Sadly, the issue is still a political one at a time when science and morality should be the driving force behind policy changes, not political rhetoric.
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