Skip to content
Catholic Online Logo

By Marshall Connolly (NEWS CONSORTIUM)

8/29/2013 (1 year ago)

Catholic Online (www.catholic.org)

High cost, opposition, and little promise of return.

Two days ago, I wrote a report predicting what would happen in Syria when Obama orders military strikes to start. At that time, Secretary of State John Kerry had just gone live on television to make the case for military intervention in Syria. Since then, it appears that the momentum behind an attack has stalled. Why?

Obama would be well served to reconsider his plans to strike Syria. They may cost much more than he realizes.

Obama would be well served to reconsider his plans to strike Syria. They may cost much more than he realizes.

Highlights

By Marshall Connolly (NEWS CONSORTIUM)

Catholic Online (www.catholic.org)

8/29/2013 (1 year ago)

Published in U.S.

Keywords: Assad, Syria, Obama, bombing, why, time, timetable, what will happen


LOS ANGELES, CA (Catholic Online) - There are several reasons why Obama has stayed his military hand from striking Syria. None of them are a lack of will or resolve on his part, but rather the result of intense outside political pressure and circumstances.

An inspection team from the United Nations is still present on the ground in Damascus. Those inspectors could become targets for the regime or rebels in the wake of a U.S. attack. Since those inspectors must deal with both rebel and regime authorities as they transit the country, they are vulnerable to the changing whims of both.

Note that Al Qaeda-friendly units such as the Al Nusra brigade believe they too will be targets in the event of a U.S. strike.

A U.S. strike could also damage infrastructure and give the Assad regime a reason to detain, or at least delay the departure of inspectors.

Obama has already denied a UN request that inspectors be given through Sunday to complete their investigation. This suggests Obama is anxious to order the attack. In my previous article, I mentioned that Obama will be traveling on Tuesday to the G8 summit in Russia where he will meet with Russian leaders including Vladimir Putin. It would certainly be an awkward meeting should bombings be happening as the the G8 summit occurs.

The new likely window for the attack then, is Saturday through Monday, local time.

For command and control reasons, it is unlikely that Obama will order an attack while he is out of the Oval Office. If an attack does not happen before Monday, it will not likely come at all.

And an attack may not come the more time that passes. Although Britain and France have signaled their support for a strike, virtually every other world leader has called for patience and peace including Pope Francis and the Bishop of Antioch, Gregory III.

Some leaders have gone farther and warned of unforeseen consequences. Iran has signaled its readiness to aid Syria by striking against Israel as a proxy target for the U.S.

Syria has said it will follow suit. It is believed the terrorist groups, Hamas and Al Qaeda may retaliate with terror attacks against Israel too. This complicates the strike calculus. Although Israel isn't likely a direct player, it is the closest ally in the region and perhaps the greatest enemy of Iran, Syria, and various terrorist organizations. In fact, Israel is the primary motivation for Islamic terrorism.

Al Qaeda has its own theories about a U.S. strike, with word spreading across the region that any strikes will start with Syrian military targets, then continue with a second wave against Al Qaeda-friendly brigades in Syria. They have warned their loyalists to take cover and prepare.

Russia has warned that U.S. intervention would also provoke consequences from them. Without specifying a threat, the Russian government has warned against a strike in a region they feel is within their sphere of influence. While military action is possible, the most likely response from Russia would be condemnation and a vow of renewed support for the Assad regime.
The Obama administration clearly believes they can implement a single quick strike that will punish the Assad regime and aid the Free Syrian Army without inflicting major civilian casualties or toppling his regime. This may be true, in which case Obama may get away with launching a limited strike.

Syrian allies may not want to become involved in a wider conflict with the U.S. and the U.N. Will not likely do anything against the United States. In fact their recent statements and the early termination of the investigation suggests the UN is as resigned to the attacks.

The real resistance to Obama may be entirely domestic. The consensus view expressed by Congress and pundits alike, is that Obama does not have the authority to order a strike on Syria without an imminent threat to the United States. Congress has asked Obama to call an emergency session so they can vote on authorizing a strike.

Obama has refused.

There is finally, the issue of just what the strikes will really accomplish. Assad know the attacks are coming. Syrian civilians have fearfully cleared store shelves in preparation and those who can are distancing themselves from potential military and regime targets.

The Syrian military is also probably moving its assets around to make targeting by cruise missiles difficult. Cruise missiles require advanced targeting and are designed to destroy fixed, soft targets such as radar sites and SAM sites, but not mobile units.

Cruise missiles are not well suited to busting deep bunkers either. Warehouses are easy targets, but bunkers hewn into mountains and caves are more difficult to penetrate. Assad is probably moving both mobile assets and troops to make them difficult to hit.

Inside sources from the military have already said they do not intend to target Assad's chemical weapons stores for fear of collateral damage.

At this point, with opposition well stated and the likelihood of the unforeseen consequences being a significant possibility, Obama may hold off on ordering a strike after all. For the moment, there is little promise of return and a great promise of consequence.

The President would be well served by thinking twice.

---


Pope Francis: end world hunger through 'Prayer and Action'


© 2014 - Distributed by THE NEWS CONSORTIUM

Pope Francis Prayer Intentions for December 2014
Christmas, hope for humanity:
That the birth of the Redeemer may bring peace and hope to all people of good will.
Parents: That parents may be true evangelizers, passing on to their children the precious gift of faith.



Comments


More U.S.

A journey to the land of the free: Part One -- Beaten and scared young children flee violence and turn to the United States for hope Watch

Image of Many young immigrants have no more fight in them when they decide to cross the border, they're only trying to survive.

By Abigail James (NEWS CONSORTIUM)

Blistered feet and filthy, blood-stained skin is the forlorn image of immigrants preparing to cross the border. With hopeful hearts and anxious minds, immigrants, of all ages, assemble to make the leap into their promise land. LOS ANGELES, CA (Catholic Online) - Most ... continue reading


OBAMACARE DOES NOT WORK! Vermont gives up free healthcare plan as too expensive Watch

Image of Vermont's governor announced that a planned universal healthcare program for the state has been cancelled because the massive tax hikes would devastate the state's economy.

By Matt Waterson (NEWS CONSORTIUM)

Peter Shumlin, the governor of Vermont, announced that he was canceling his longtime dream to create a single-payer health care system for his state. LOS ANGELES, CA (Catholic Online) - The announcement came on December 17, citing problems with paying for the Green ... continue reading


The disgusting new fact of American life: More than 46 million Americans on food stamps for 37 straight month Watch

Image of Obama has been in office for about 70 months, and 37 of those months have seen the most amount of Americans on food stamps, ever!

By Matt Waterson (NEWS CONSORTIUM)

It is self-evident that President Obama continues to undermine the abilities of the lower class, enforcing government-reliance on those who can least afford it. The number of Americans on food stamps under Obama has continued along its record breaking path, as, ... continue reading


Faith in the United States' race relations hits a strikingly low point after no indictment verdicts Watch

Image of 57 percent of American's say race relations in the United States are bad, according to the latest NBC News/ Wall Street Journal poll.

By Abigail James (NEWS CONSORTIUM)

"Injustice anywhere is a threat to justice everywhere." Those are the words of Martin Luther King, Jr, a man who fought long and hard for a better today. LOS ANGELES, CA (Catholic Online) - A land where discrimination no longer prevails is a reality that seems no ... continue reading


The Pope, the Pets, the Paparazzi and the Propaganda Media

Image of Pope Francis pets a dog

By Deacon Keith A Fournier

The passing on of this complete fabrication, as well as the embellishment which accompanied it, were not simply a matter of the secular press failing to comprehend this Pope. In fact, religious news sources, both Catholic and Protestant, jumped in. This all ... continue reading


Why is he so upset? Because of the secret Republican time bomb in the government funding bill Watch

Image of The federal government has funding through the 2015 fiscal year, but Republicans will have many opportunities to fight the president's programs in that time.

By Matt Waterson (NEWS CONSORTIUM)

The Senate has approved a $1.1 trillion spending bill, aimed to fund nearly the whole of the federal government through the 2015 fiscal year, ending weeks of drama in Congress and relieving doubts that the government might be shut down again while Democrats and ... continue reading


You know about the 'Bishop of Bling' but do American clergy have the same problem too? Watch

Image of The Bishop of Bling was sacked after he spent $43 million renovating his home.

By Catholic Online (NEWS CONSORTIUM)

Pope Francis has called for "a Church which is poor and for the poor." However, not every member of the clergy may have read the memo. A number of high-ranking Church officials in the United States live in lavish homes, sometimes bordering on the scandalous. LOS ... continue reading


Water leak leads to discovery of 1795 time capsule - left by Paul Revere! Watch

Image of A worker holds the time capsule left by the revolutionaries.

By Catholic Online (NEWS CONSORTIUM)

Paul Revere, the fearless revolutionary who mounted his horse to declare that "The British are coming! The British are coming!" has left an enduring national legacy - in both deed and actions. Excitement is mounting with the discovery of a time capsule left by Revere ... continue reading


The Gender Identity Executive Order of President Obama is a Trojan Horse

Image of Most of us are familiar with the story of the Trojan Horse used by Greek soldiers to take the City of Troy. After a multi-year, unsuccessful effort to take the City, the Greeks pretended to retreat. However, Greek soldiers had left behind a large wooden horse. The Trojans found what they thought were spoils of battle, a large wooden horse. They decided to pull it into the City as a trophy of their victory. Hidden inside were an elite group of soldiers. As soon as the crowds gathered to celebrate the victory, they came out of the horse and destroyed the City from the inside.

By Deacon Keith A Fournier

To equate how one engages in sexual activities with a member of the same sex - or whether one has sexual attraction to a member of the same sex - with a properly protected status such as race, creed, gender or national origin, in the enforcement of federal ... continue reading


America's best hope for 2016 is an old face: Republican's need Romney to run Watch

Image of While Mitt Romney has not said he will run for president in 2016, those close to him suggest that he will, and he is confident that he can win.

By Matt Waterson (NEWS CONSORTIUM)

The Republican party is doing a great deal of soul searching ahead of the 2016 presidential election season. It's will be tough finding a candidate that appeals to the small but vocal Tea Party, the aging and reactionary ultraconservatives and the large and ... continue reading


All U.S. News

Newsletters

Newsletter Sign Up icon

Stay up to date with the latest news, information, and special offers

Saint of the Day

Saint of the Day for December 18th, 2014 Image

St. Rufus
December 18: Rufus and Zosimus were citizens of Antioch (or perhaps Philippi) ... Read More

Inform, Inspire & Ignite Logo

Find Catholic Online on Facebook and get updates right in your live feed.

Become a fan of Catholic Online on Facebook


Follow Catholic Online on Twitter and get News and Product updates.

Follow us on Twitter